Sunday, 10 November 2019

Common biases and errors in decision making

Escalation of commitment - an increased commitment to a previous decision in spite of negative information.

Randomness error - The tendency of individuals to believe they can predict the outcome of random events.

Risk aversion - the tendency to prefer a sure gain of a moderate amount over a riskier outcome, even if the riskier outcome might have a higher expected pay-off.

Hindsight bias
The tendency to believe falsely, after an outcome of an event is actually known, that one would have accurately predicated that outcome.

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